MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
20-23 | Road
9
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
25-17 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Joey Cantillo
#54 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 2.92 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Joey Cantillo | None-None | 4.57 | -- | 2.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.92 Ldr
ERA
4.57
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
37%
GUARDIANS
63%
BREWERS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
80%
Under 0
20%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
MIL By 1-2 runs
15.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
9.9%
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CLE By 3-4 runs
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
2.93
MILWAUKEE
Cleveland
4.18
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Guardians
Loss
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
Guardians
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim
Guardians (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
A
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 18, 2026
CLE @ MIL
4 - 2
Jun 17, 2026
CLE @ MIL
4 - 9
Jun 16, 2026
CLE @ MIL
1 - 2
May 14, 2025
MIL @ CLE
9 - 5
May 13, 2025
MIL @ CLE
0 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.743
▲
OPS
.696
154
Home Runs
▲
162
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+24.5% more
Cleveland: 9.3
vs
Milwaukee: 7.5
Total Bases (L5)
+23.2% more
Cleveland: 10.1
vs
Milwaukee: 8.2
Hits (L5)
+20.8% more
Cleveland: 6.4
vs
Milwaukee: 5.3
Home Runs (Season)
+5.2% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Milwaukee: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
2.9
9
CLE Score
4.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.4 / 5.3
7.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.6
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 7.5
9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.1 / 8.2
13.0 / 22.0
Walks
3.2 / 4.3
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CLE
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
MIL
CLE
MIL
ML
54%
87-74
62%
101-61
49%
80-82
52%
84-78
ATS
58%
93-68
58%
94-68
59%
95-67
48%
78-84
TTL
55%
88-71-2
40%
62-92-8
43%
69-90-2
50%
77-77-8
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