MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
23-20 | Road
4
BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
15-26 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kody Clemens
#2 | Second Base@
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler O'Neill
#9 | Right Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kody Clemens | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Tyler O'Neill | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
67%
ORIOLES
33%
TWINS
--
ORIOLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
63%
Under 0
37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
17.4%
BAL By 1-2 runs
15.1%
BAL By 3-4 runs
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
4.39
MINNESOTA
Baltimore
2.93
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Baltimore
5
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Twins
Win
67% Win Prob
C
Sim
Orioles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Twins (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
A
Sim
Orioles (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.3
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 12, 2026
BAL @ MIN
5 - 7
Aug 11, 2026
BAL @ MIN
5 - 2
Aug 10, 2026
BAL @ MIN
5 - 9
Mar 29, 2026
MIN @ BAL
6 - 8
Mar 28, 2026
MIN @ BAL
4 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Baltimore
BAL
162
▲
Games Played
161
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.720
▲
OPS
.711
187
Home Runs
▲
199
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+69.9% more
Minnesota: 1.4
vs
Baltimore: 0.4
Home Runs (L5)
+26.9% more
Minnesota: 1.3
vs
Baltimore: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+23.7% more
Minnesota: 8.6
vs
Baltimore: 6.6
Total Bases (L5)
+19.3% more
Minnesota: 14.3
vs
Baltimore: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
4.4
4
BAL Score
2.9
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 1.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.6 / 8.6
6.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.3
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 9.7
7.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
11.6 / 14.3
8.0 / 15.0
Walks
3.4 / 3.2
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
BAL
Advantage
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
BAL
Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
MIN
BAL
MIN
ML
53%
83-73
52%
84-78
57%
90-69
50%
80-81
ATS
61%
95-60-1
59%
95-67
57%
90-68-1
59%
95-66
TTL
54%
81-70-5
51%
78-75-9
51%
78-75-6
53%
80-72-9
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