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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

17-25  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, May 16 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

29-15  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Jorge Soler
STARTING PITCHER

Jorge Soler

#12 | Designated Hitter
@
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jorge Soler None-None -- -- -- --
Jack Dreyer None-None 2.55 -- 2.0 4
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 2.55
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 2.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 4
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
26%
📊
DODGERS
74%
ANGELS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

38.2%

Dodgers Cover

61.8%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAA By 1-2 runs

15.8%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.0%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

16.8%

AI Model Projected Score
4.92
LOS ANGELES
6.12
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Loss
74% Win Prob
B
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 7, 2026 LAA @ LAD 13 - 5
Jun 6, 2026 LAA @ LAD 2 - 9
Jun 5, 2026 LAA @ LAD 0 - 1
May 17, 2026 LAD @ LAA 10 - 1
May 16, 2026 LAD @ LAA 15 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.679
OPS
▲ .762
154
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +124.7% more
Los Angeles: 13.7 vs Los Angeles: 6.1
Total Bases (L5) +115.5% more
Los Angeles: 25.2 vs Los Angeles: 11.7
Home Runs (L5) +112.9% more
Los Angeles: 3.0 vs Los Angeles: 1.4
Home Runs (Season) +32.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.9 6
LAD Score 6.1 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 1.2 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 13.7 / 6.1 7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 3.0 / 1.4 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.0 / 7.7 15.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 25.2 / 11.7 11.0 / 16.0
Walks 2.4 / 5.0 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
LAA
LAD
LAA
ML
56% 92-73
59% 96-66
48% 79-87
55% 89-73
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-65
43% 72-94
51% 82-80
TTL
48% 77-82-6
53% 83-74-5
44% 70-90-6
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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