Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Dodgers LAA @ LAD

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

18-25  |  Road

11
FINAL
Sat, May 17 • 9:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

29-16  |  Home

9
Probable Pitchers
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
@
Alex Vesia
STARTING PITCHER

Alex Vesia

#51 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Reid Detmers None-None 8.35 -- 2.0 2
Alex Vesia None-None 3.48 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
8.35 ERA Ldr 3.48
-- WHIP --
2.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
28%
📊
DODGERS
72%
ANGELS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

45.2%

Dodgers Cover

54.8%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAA By 1-2 runs

17.5%

LAA By 3-4 runs

12.2%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.1%

LAD By 3-4 runs

14.9%

AI Model Projected Score
5.36
LOS ANGELES
5.84
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Loss
72% Win Prob
B
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.5
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.2
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 7, 2026 LAA @ LAD 13 - 5
Jun 6, 2026 LAA @ LAD 2 - 9
Jun 5, 2026 LAA @ LAD 0 - 1
May 17, 2026 LAD @ LAA 10 - 1
May 16, 2026 LAD @ LAA 15 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.679
OPS
▲ .762
154
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +83.3% more
Los Angeles: 2.3 vs Los Angeles: 1.3
Total Bases (L5) +55.7% more
Los Angeles: 20.4 vs Los Angeles: 13.1
Hits (L5) +55.1% more
Los Angeles: 11.5 vs Los Angeles: 7.4
Strikeouts (L5) +38.2% more
Los Angeles: 10.3 vs Los Angeles: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 5.4 11
LAD Score 5.8 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.8 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 11.5 / 7.4 15.0 / 13.0
Home Runs 2.3 / 1.3 2.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 10.3 / 7.5 6.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 20.4 / 13.1 22.0 / 27.0
Walks 2.6 / 5.0 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
LAA
LAD
LAA
ML
56% 92-73
59% 96-66
48% 79-87
55% 89-73
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-65
43% 72-94
51% 82-80
TTL
48% 77-82-6
53% 83-74-5
44% 70-90-6
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 52 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 6 hours, 41 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 12 hours, 48 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 18 hours, 52 minutes ago
Alex Cora Joins Growing List of Unavailable Managers for Seattle…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago