MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
26-20 | Road
2
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
21-25 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Zebby Matthews
#52 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zebby Matthews | None-None | 12.00 | -- | 3.0 | 5 |
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 2.70 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
12.00
ERA
Ldr 2.70
--
WHIP
--
3.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
5 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
61%
BREWERS
39%
TWINS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
36%
Under 0
64%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.3%
MIN By 3-4 runs
19.0%
MIL By 1-2 runs
12.5%
MIL By 3-4 runs
6.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
5.23
MINNESOTA
Milwaukee
2.86
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Twins
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Twins (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.4
A
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
MIN @ MIL
3 - 4
Aug 8, 2026
MIN @ MIL
3 - 4
Aug 7, 2026
MIN @ MIL
8 - 6
May 17, 2026
MIL @ MIN
4 - 5
May 16, 2026
MIL @ MIN
2 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.403
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.720
OPS
▲
.743
187
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+65.2% more
Minnesota: 1.4
vs
Milwaukee: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+56.3% more
Minnesota: 18.4
vs
Milwaukee: 8.0
Hits (L5)
+51.7% more
Minnesota: 11.6
vs
Milwaukee: 5.6
Errors (L5)
+32.0% more
Minnesota: 0.4
vs
Milwaukee: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
5.2
2
MIL Score
2.9
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.6 / 11.6
5.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.4
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 10.7
9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
8.0 / 18.4
5.0 / 11.0
Walks
2.3 / 2.3
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
MIN
MIL
MIN
ML
62%
101-61
52%
84-78
52%
84-78
50%
80-81
ATS
58%
94-68
59%
95-67
48%
78-84
59%
95-66
TTL
40%
62-92-8
51%
78-75-9
50%
77-77-8
53%
80-72-9
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