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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

19-25  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sun, May 18 • 4:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

29-17  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Travis d'Arnaud
STARTING PITCHER

Travis d'Arnaud

#25 | Catcher
@
Dalton Rushing
STARTING PITCHER

Dalton Rushing

#68 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Travis d'Arnaud None-None -- -- -- --
Dalton Rushing None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
31%
📊
DODGERS
69%
ANGELS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 61%
Under 0 39%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

46.1%

Dodgers Cover

53.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAA By 1-2 runs

17.7%

LAA By 3-4 runs

12.4%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.0%

LAD By 3-4 runs

14.7%

AI Model Projected Score
5.81
LOS ANGELES
6.2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Loss
69% Win Prob
C
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 12.0
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 7, 2026 LAA @ LAD 13 - 5
Jun 6, 2026 LAA @ LAD 2 - 9
Jun 5, 2026 LAA @ LAD 0 - 1
May 17, 2026 LAD @ LAA 10 - 1
May 16, 2026 LAD @ LAA 15 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.679
OPS
▲ .762
154
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +36.6% more
Los Angeles: 12.7 vs Los Angeles: 9.3
Home Runs (Season) +32.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season) +22.3% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Strikeouts (L5) +21.3% more
Los Angeles: 8.9 vs Los Angeles: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 5.8 6
LAD Score 6.2 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.9 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 12.7 / 9.3 5.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 2.2 / 1.8 1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 8.9 / 7.3 8.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 21.0 / 17.7 8.0 / 17.0
Walks 3.4 / 5.0 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
LAA
LAD
LAA
ML
56% 92-73
59% 96-66
48% 79-87
55% 89-73
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-65
43% 72-94
51% 82-80
TTL
48% 77-82-6
53% 83-74-5
44% 70-90-6
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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