ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
25-22 | Road
9
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
29-18 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Thompson
#81 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Thompson | None-None | 7.50 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 3.38 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
7.50
ERA
Ldr 3.38
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
41%
DODGERS
59%
DIAMONDBACKS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
ARI By 1-2 runs
15.9%
ARI By 3-4 runs
10.1%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
16.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
5.68
ARIZONA
Los Angeles
6.85
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Arizona
3
ARIZONA
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
C
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 4
Aug 8, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 1
Aug 7, 2026
LAD @ ARI
3 - 4
Jul 12, 2026
ARI @ LAD
5 - 3
Jul 11, 2026
ARI @ LAD
9 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.318
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.720
OPS
▲
.762
166
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+27.7% more
Los Angeles: 1.8
vs
Arizona: 1.4
Home Runs (Season)
+22.9% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Arizona: 166.0
Errors (L5)
+13.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.3
vs
Arizona: 0.2
Runs per Game (Season)
+8.3% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Arizona: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
5.7
9
LAD Score
6.9
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.1 / 9.6
6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 1.4
3.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 11.0
5.0 / 2.0
Total Bases
16.6 / 16.7
16.0 / 23.0
Walks
4.3 / 4.4
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ARI
LAD
ARI
ML
56%
92-73
54%
87-74
48%
79-87
54%
86-74
ATS
59%
98-67
57%
91-70
43%
72-94
56%
89-71
TTL
48%
77-82-6
52%
80-73-8
44%
70-90-6
49%
73-77-9
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