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ARIZONA

DIAMONDBACKSARI

26-22  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, May 20 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

29-19  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Kevin Ginkel
STARTING PITCHER

Kevin Ginkel

#37 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Kevin Ginkel None-None 8.00 -- 1.0 2
Tanner Scott None-None 2.42 -- 1.2 2
None-None W-L None-None
8.00 ERA Ldr 2.42
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.2
2 K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
44%
📊
DODGERS
56%
DIAMONDBACKS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
DiamondbacksARI (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Diamondbacks Cover

50.5%

Dodgers Cover

49.5%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ARI 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)

ARI By 1-2 runs

18.5%

ARI By 3-4 runs

13.7%

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

13.4%

AI Model Projected Score
6.28
ARIZONA
6.23
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
ARIZONA
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Diamondbacks Loss
44% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Diamondbacks (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: 0.0
C
Sim Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 12.5
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 9, 2026 LAD @ ARI 2 - 4
Aug 8, 2026 LAD @ ARI 2 - 1
Aug 7, 2026 LAD @ ARI 3 - 4
Jul 12, 2026 ARI @ LAD 5 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 ARI @ LAD 9 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona ARI
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.56
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.318
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.720
OPS
▲ .762
166
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +12.9% more
Arizona: 10.0 vs Los Angeles: 8.7
Total Bases (L5) +12.6% more
Arizona: 18.8 vs Los Angeles: 16.4
Home Runs (Season) +22.9% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Arizona: 166.0
Home Runs (L5) +13.4% more
Los Angeles: 2.2 vs Arizona: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARI Score 6.3 3
LAD Score 6.2 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.7 / 10.0 7.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 2.2 / 1.9 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 7.4 / 8.0 13.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 16.4 / 18.8 12.0 / 14.0
Walks 3.8 / 3.6 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
86-76-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5% Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ARI
LAD
ARI
ML
56% 92-73
54% 87-74
48% 79-87
54% 86-74
ATS
59% 98-67
57% 91-70
43% 72-94
56% 89-71
TTL
48% 77-82-6
52% 80-73-8
44% 70-90-6
49% 73-77-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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