SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
27-20 | Road
6
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
15-34 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Edgar Quero
#26 | Catcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Edgar Quero | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
75%
WHITE SOX
25%
MARINERS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
18.9%
SEA By 3-4 runs
19.4%
CHW By 1-2 runs
11.5%
CHW By 3-4 runs
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4.96
SEATTLE
Chicago
2.25
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
75% Win Prob
B
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.7
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.2
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 20, 2026
CHW @ SEA
4 - 5
May 19, 2026
CHW @ SEA
2 - 1
May 18, 2026
CHW @ SEA
1 - 6
May 10, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 2
May 9, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.693
OPS
▲
.826
182
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.5% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+28.0% more
Seattle: 0.9
vs
Chicago: 0.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+23.6% more
Seattle: 7.9
vs
Chicago: 6.1
Walks (L5)
+122.9% more
Chicago: 3.7
vs
Seattle: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.0
6
CHW Score
2.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.2
2.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.8 / 6.4
8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.9
3.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
6.1 / 7.9
8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
10.1 / 10.5
18.0 / 17.0
Walks
3.7 / 1.7
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
SEA
CHW
SEA
ML
49%
81-86
50%
81-81
56%
94-73
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
99-68
60%
98-64
56%
93-74
59%
95-67
TTL
58%
96-69-2
56%
85-67-10
51%
84-81-2
53%
81-71-10
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