SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

29-21  |  Road

4
FINAL
Fri, May 23 • 6:45 PM ET
Nationals Park
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

NATIONALSWSH

23-27  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Camilo Doval
STARTING PITCHER

Camilo Doval

#57 | Relief Pitcher
@
Daylen Lile
STARTING PITCHER

Daylen Lile

#4 | Left Field
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Camilo Doval None-None 1.16 -- 1.0 --
Daylen Lile None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
1.16 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
62%
📊
NATIONALS
38%
GIANTS --
NATIONALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 NationalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

62.7%

Nationals Cover

37.3%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SF By 3-4 runs

17.0%

WSH By 1-2 runs

15.5%

WSH By 3-4 runs

9.8%

AI Model Projected Score
4.92
SAN FRANCISCO
3.62
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
5
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
62% Win Prob
C
Sim Nationals Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
B
Sim Nationals (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 10, 2026 WSH @ SF 10 - 11
Jun 9, 2026 WSH @ SF 6 - 3
Jun 8, 2026 WSH @ SF 4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026 SF @ WSH 0 - 3
Apr 18, 2026 SF @ WSH 7 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Washington WSH
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 5.07
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .246
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .321
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .423
.706
OPS
▲ .744
178
Home Runs
▲ 210
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +11.2% more
San Francisco: 1.3 vs Washington: 1.2
Walks (L5) +46.6% more
Washington: 2.4 vs San Francisco: 1.6
Hits (L5) +32.9% more
Washington: 10.1 vs San Francisco: 7.6
Runs per Game (Season) +22.8% more
Washington: 5.1 vs San Francisco: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.9 4
WSH Score 3.6 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.2 / 1.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.1 / 7.6 5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.3 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 7.0 13.0 / 3.0
Total Bases 16.5 / 13.5 8.0 / 7.0
Walks 2.4 / 1.6 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
WSH Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
WSH Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +1.3