Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Camilo Doval
#57 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Daylen Lile
#4 | Left Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | None-None | 1.16 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Daylen Lile | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.16
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
62%
NATIONALS
38%
GIANTS
--
NATIONALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
SF By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SF By 3-4 runs
17.0%
WSH By 1-2 runs
15.5%
WSH By 3-4 runs
9.8%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
4.92
SAN FRANCISCO
Washington
3.62
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
San Francisco
3
SAN FRANCISCO
Washington
5
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Giants
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Nationals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Giants (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
B
Sim
Nationals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 10, 2026
WSH @ SF
10 - 11
Jun 9, 2026
WSH @ SF
6 - 3
Jun 8, 2026
WSH @ SF
4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026
SF @ WSH
0 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
SF @ WSH
7 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
Washington
WSH
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲
5.07
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.246
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.321
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.423
.706
OPS
▲
.744
178
Home Runs
▲
210
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+11.2% more
San Francisco: 1.3
vs
Washington: 1.2
Walks (L5)
+46.6% more
Washington: 2.4
vs
San Francisco: 1.6
Hits (L5)
+32.9% more
Washington: 10.1
vs
San Francisco: 7.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+22.8% more
Washington: 5.1
vs
San Francisco: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
4.9
4
WSH Score
3.6
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.2 / 1.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.1 / 7.6
5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.3
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 7.0
13.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
16.5 / 13.5
8.0 / 7.0
Walks
2.4 / 1.6
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
WSH
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
SF
WSH
SF
ML
57%
92-69
49%
79-81
54%
87-74
53%
85-75
ATS
58%
93-68
62%
100-60
57%
91-70
52%
83-77
TTL
50%
77-78-6
55%
82-68-10
42%
65-90-6
46%
68-81-11