NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
30-19 | Road
2
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
8-42 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Brent Headrick
#47 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Zach Agnos
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Headrick | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Zach Agnos | None-None | 1.29 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
1.29
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
89%
ROCKIES
11%
YANKEES
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
18.2%
COL By 1-2 runs
14.0%
COL By 3-4 runs
8.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
5.53
NEW YORK
Colorado
3.68
COLORADO
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Colorado
7
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Loss
89% Win Prob
A
Sim
Rockies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.9
C
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.2
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
COL @ NYY
3 - 10
Sep 9, 2026
COL @ NYY
1 - 6
Sep 8, 2026
COL @ NYY
3 - 5
May 25, 2025
NYY @ COL
5 - 4
May 24, 2025
NYY @ COL
13 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Colorado
COL
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
1.041
▲
OPS
.739
2
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+59.2% more
New York: 1.5
vs
Colorado: 0.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+48.4% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Colorado: 4.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+48.4% more
New York: 11.5
vs
Colorado: 5.9
OPS (Season)
+30.2%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Colorado: 73.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
5.5
2
COL Score
3.7
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.7 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.1 / 6.5
8.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.5
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
5.9 / 11.5
7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
12.7 / 12.5
11.0 / 10.0
Walks
3.4 / 2.6
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
NYY
COL
NYY
ML
60%
97-64
47%
76-85
55%
88-73
52%
85-77
ATS
60%
97-64
59%
95-66
52%
83-78
53%
86-76
TTL
60%
93-62-6
53%
81-73-7
50%
77-78-6
53%
82-72-7
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