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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

0-0-0  |  Road

5
FINAL
Thu, May 22 • 8:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

0-0-0  |  Home

0
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
HURRICANES
100%
PANTHERS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Florida)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

79.4%

Hurricanes Cover

20.6%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

FLA By 1 goal

18.8%

FLA By 2-3 goals

35.2%

CAR By 1 goal

8.4%

CAR By 2-3 goals

5.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4.87
FLORIDA
3.23
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
2
FLORIDA
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 29, 2026 FLA @ CAR 1 - 0
Jan 16, 2026 FLA @ CAR 1 - 9
Dec 23, 2025 FLA @ CAR 5 - 2
Sep 29, 2025 CAR @ FLA 3 - 4
Sep 24, 2025 FLA @ CAR 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +12.3% more
Florida: 49.4 vs Carolina: 43.4
Power Play % (L5) +5.7%
Florida: 28.7% vs Carolina: 23.1%
Shots on Goal (L5) +14.0% more
Carolina: 30.9 vs Florida: 27.1
Faceoff % (L5) +12.0%
Carolina: 55.4% vs Florida: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 4.9 5
CAR Score 3.2 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.4 / 16.1 17.0 / 19.0
Faceoff % 55.4 / 43.4 51.9 / 48.1
Hits 43.4 / 49.4 42.0 / 56.0
Power Play % 23.1 / 28.7 0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal 30.9 / 27.1 17.0 / 21.0
Takeaways 4.8 / 4.6 6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
60%MONEY40%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
FLA
CAR
FLA
ML
80% 4-1
0% 0-4
40% 2-3
0% 0-4
ATS
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
TTL
0% 0-5
25% 1-3
20% 1-4
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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