PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
31-18 | Road
2
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
8-41 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Orion Kerkering
#50 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jordan Romano
#68 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orion Kerkering | None-None | 4.00 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Jordan Romano | None-None | 6.87 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.00 Ldr
ERA
6.87
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
PHILLIES
0%
ROCKIES
100%
PHILLIES
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around PHI -3.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-2 runs
17.5%
PHI By 3-4 runs
19.7%
COL By 1-2 runs
9.3%
COL By 3-4 runs
4.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
6.3
PHILADELPHIA
Colorado
2.83
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Phillies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Phillies (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.5
D
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 10, 2026
COL @ PHI
0 - 6
May 9, 2026
COL @ PHI
3 - 9
May 8, 2026
COL @ PHI
9 - 7
Apr 5, 2026
PHI @ COL
1 - 4
Apr 4, 2026
PHI @ COL
2 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Philadelphia
PHI
vs
Colorado
COL
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.50
Runs / Game
▲
4.64
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.286
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.438
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.724
OPS
▲
.739
3
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+49.7% more
Philadelphia: 1.8
vs
Colorado: 0.9
Strikeouts (L5)
+48.0% more
Philadelphia: 9.4
vs
Colorado: 4.9
Hits (L5)
+30.5% more
Philadelphia: 12.4
vs
Colorado: 8.6
Total Bases (L5)
+30.3% more
Philadelphia: 20.1
vs
Colorado: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
6.3
2
COL Score
2.8
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.5 / 0.4
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.6 / 12.4
7.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.8
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
4.9 / 9.4
8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
14.0 / 20.1
10.0 / 7.0
Walks
3.6 / 2.4
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
PHI
COL
PHI
ML
60%
97-64
59%
97-67
55%
88-73
49%
80-84
ATS
60%
97-64
65%
107-57
52%
83-78
51%
83-81
TTL
60%
93-62-6
57%
88-67-9
50%
77-78-6
51%
78-76-9
Contextual Game News
Alex Cora Joins Growing List of Unavailable Managers for Seattle…
!role~Preview!mt~photo!fmt~JPEG%20Baseline)
Nick Martinez's Journey from Ejection at Yankee Stadium to ALCS …
Phillies' 2027 Rotation Projection: Wheeler and Sanchez Lead Sta…
Alex Cora Rejects Phillies Again, Opts to Sit Out 2027 Season
Phillies' Managerial Plans Thrown Into Disarray as Alex Cora Opt…