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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

22-25  |  Road

10
FINAL
Wed, May 21 • 10:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

22-27  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Jorge Soler
STARTING PITCHER

Jorge Soler

#12 | Designated Hitter
@
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Nick Kurtz

#16 | First Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jorge Soler None-None -- -- -- --
Nick Kurtz None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
📊
ATHLETICS
100%
ANGELS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

64.2%

Athletics Cover

35.8%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAA By 3-4 runs

17.4%

ATH By 1-2 runs

15.1%

ATH By 3-4 runs

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4.97
LOS ANGELES
3.52
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
2
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim Angels (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.31
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.679
OPS
▲ .719
154
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +93.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.0 vs Athletics: 0.0
Home Runs (L5) +57.6% more
Los Angeles: 2.1 vs Athletics: 0.9
Total Bases (L5) +28.6% more
Los Angeles: 18.0 vs Athletics: 12.9
Hits (L5) +15.0% more
Los Angeles: 9.4 vs Athletics: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 5.0 10
ATH Score 3.5 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.0 / 1.0 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.0 / 9.4 12.0 / 14.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 2.1 3.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 7.1 8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 12.9 / 18.0 21.0 / 32.0
Walks 2.9 / 3.2 3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
LAA
ATH
LAA
ML
59% 95-67
59% 96-66
54% 87-74
55% 89-73
ATS
52% 84-78
60% 97-65
50% 81-80
51% 82-80
TTL
54% 84-73-5
53% 83-74-5
42% 66-90-5
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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