AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
HURRICANES
100%
PANTHERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
17.8%
FLA By 2-3 goals
19.5%
CAR By 1 goal
17.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
17.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Carolina
3.92
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 0
Jan 16, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 9
Dec 23, 2025
FLA @ CAR
5 - 2
Sep 29, 2025
CAR @ FLA
3 - 4
Sep 24, 2025
FLA @ CAR
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+45.8% more
Florida: 5.9
vs
Carolina: 3.2
Hits (L5)
+21.0% more
Florida: 50.7
vs
Carolina: 40.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.8% more
Carolina: 16.2
vs
Florida: 13.6
Power Play % (L5)
+12.3%
Carolina: 22.1%
vs
Florida: 9.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
4.0
5
CAR Score
3.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.2 / 13.6
17.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
53.0 / 45.1
60.0 / 40.0
Hits
40.0 / 50.7
50.0 / 47.0
Power Play %
22.1 / 9.7
25.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
29.9 / 30.7
33.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 5.9
8.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
FLA
CAR
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4