LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

21-25  |  Road

7
FINAL
Tue, May 20 • 10:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

22-26  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
@
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Reid Detmers None-None 7.91 -- 1.0 1
Hogan Harris None-None 3.95 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
7.91 ERA Ldr 3.95
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
📊
ATHLETICS
100%
ANGELS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

62.9%

Athletics Cover

37.1%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAA By 3-4 runs

17.1%

ATH By 1-2 runs

15.5%

ATH By 3-4 runs

9.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4.64
LOS ANGELES
3.32
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
4
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Angels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
D
Sim Athletics (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.31
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.679
OPS
▲ .719
154
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +89.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.0 vs Athletics: 0.1
Home Runs (L5) +84.7% more
Los Angeles: 2.2 vs Athletics: 0.3
Total Bases (L5) +48.3% more
Los Angeles: 17.0 vs Athletics: 8.8
Walks (L5) +41.6% more
Los Angeles: 4.8 vs Athletics: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 4.6 7
ATH Score 3.3 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 1.0 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.0 / 8.6 12.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 0.3 / 2.2 2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 7.7 9.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 8.8 / 17.0 21.0 / 20.0
Walks 2.8 / 4.8 3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8