LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
20-25 | Road
4
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
22-25 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jorge Soler
#12 | Designated Hitter@
STARTING PITCHER
J.T. Ginn
#35 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| J.T. Ginn | None-None | 5.60 | -- | 4.0 | 7 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
5.60
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
4.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
7
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
ATHLETICS
100%
ANGELS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAA By 3-4 runs
17.4%
ATH By 1-2 runs
15.1%
ATH By 3-4 runs
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.43
LOS ANGELES
Athletics
2.96
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Angels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Angels (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Athletics (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 23, 2026
LAA @ ATH
3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026
LAA @ ATH
7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026
ATH @ LAA
1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026
ATH @ LAA
2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026
ATH @ LAA
9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.679
OPS
▲
.719
154
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+83.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.9
vs
Athletics: 0.1
Home Runs (L5)
+78.0% more
Los Angeles: 2.2
vs
Athletics: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+50.3% more
Los Angeles: 17.5
vs
Athletics: 8.7
Hits (L5)
+38.5% more
Los Angeles: 8.9
vs
Athletics: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
4.4
4
ATH Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.9
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
5.4 / 8.9
7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 2.2
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.2 / 8.5
13.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
8.7 / 17.5
9.0 / 16.0
Walks
4.2 / 4.7
0.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
LAA
ATH
LAA
ML
59%
95-67
59%
96-66
54%
87-74
55%
89-73
ATS
52%
84-78
60%
97-65
50%
81-80
51%
82-80
TTL
54%
84-73-5
53%
83-74-5
42%
66-90-5
52%
82-75-5
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