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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, May 17 • 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

0-0-0  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
📊
STARS
0%
JETS --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Dallas)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

39.4%

Stars Cover

60.6%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

WPG By 1 goal

14.8%

WPG By 2-3 goals

13.2%

DAL By 1 goal

19.2%

DAL By 2-3 goals

24.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1.86
WINNIPEG
2.4
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
WINNIPEG
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 0 - 3
Feb 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 3 - 4
Dec 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 4 - 3
Oct 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 5 - 4
May 17, 2025 WPG @ DAL 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +9.1%
Dallas: 28.1% vs Winnipeg: 19.0%
Takeaways (L5) +62.3% more
Winnipeg: 4.8 vs Dallas: 1.8
Hits (L5) +28.5% more
Winnipeg: 46.4 vs Dallas: 33.2
Shots on Goal (L5) +25.7% more
Winnipeg: 31.4 vs Dallas: 23.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 1.9 1
DAL Score 2.4 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.1 / 13.1 15.0 / 19.0
Faceoff % 49.6 / 50.2 64.0 / 36.0
Hits 33.2 / 46.4 26.0 / 54.0
Power Play % 28.1 / 19.0 100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 23.4 / 31.4 20.0 / 23.0
Takeaways 1.8 / 4.8 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
50%MONEY50%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
WPG
DAL
WPG
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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