Home / NHL Projections NHL / Hurricanes @ Capitals CAR @ WSH

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, May 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

CAPITALSWSH

0-0-0  |  Home

1
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
📊
CAPITALS
100%
HURRICANES --
CAPITALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 CapitalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

50.8%

Capitals Cover

49.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CAR By 1 goal

17.6%

CAR By 2-3 goals

19.1%

WSH By 1 goal

17.3%

WSH By 2-3 goals

18.2%

AI Model Projected Score
3.08
CAROLINA
3.04
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
3
CAROLINA
2
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (-0) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 WSH @ CAR 5 - 2
Jan 31, 2026 CAR @ WSH 3 - 4
Dec 11, 2025 CAR @ WSH 3 - 2
Nov 11, 2025 WSH @ CAR 4 - 1
May 15, 2025 CAR @ WSH 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +36.5% more
Carolina: 33.9 vs Washington: 21.5
Power Play % (L5) +15.6%
Carolina: 33.1% vs Washington: 17.5%
Hits (L5) +9.3% more
Carolina: 37.0 vs Washington: 33.6
Takeaways (L5) +8.7% more
Carolina: 3.8 vs Washington: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 3.1 3
WSH Score 3.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 25.5 / 12.2 16.0 / 24.0
Faceoff % 52.6 / 47.4 35.8 / 64.2
Hits 33.6 / 37.0 40.0 / 46.0
Power Play % 1748.0 / 3312.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 21.5 / 33.9 19.0 / 22.0
Takeaways 3.5 / 3.8 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
40%MONEY60%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CAR
WSH
CAR
ML
100% 3-0
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
100% 4-0
TTL
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
yardbarker 56 minutes ago
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
headtopics 13 hours, 25 minutes ago
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
local10 19 hours, 6 minutes ago
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
yahoo 19 hours, 22 minutes ago
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
yardbarker 1 day, 1 hour ago