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DALLAS

STARSDAL

0-0-0  |  Road

0
FINAL
Thu, May 15 • 9:30 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
View Odds Details →

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Home

4
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
📊
JETS
0%
STARS --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Winnipeg)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 JetsWPG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

35.0%

Jets Cover

65.0%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

DAL By 1 goal

13.5%

DAL By 2-3 goals

11.2%

WPG By 1 goal

19.6%

WPG By 2-3 goals

27.1%

AI Model Projected Score
1.98
DALLAS
2.75
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jets (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim Jets (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 0 - 3
Feb 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 3 - 4
Dec 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 4 - 3
Oct 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 5 - 4
May 17, 2025 WPG @ DAL 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +174.7% more
Winnipeg: 4.7 vs Dallas: 1.7
Hits (L5) +31.1% more
Winnipeg: 43.6 vs Dallas: 33.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +23.3% more
Winnipeg: 29.7 vs Dallas: 24.1
Power Play % (L5) +33.7%
Dallas: 42.1% vs Winnipeg: 8.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 2.0 0
WPG Score 2.8 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.2 / 16.6 11.0 / 6.0
Faceoff % 49.0 / 50.7 52.5 / 47.5
Hits 43.6 / 33.3 52.0 / 33.0
Power Play % 8.4 / 42.1 40.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 29.7 / 24.1 35.0 / 22.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 1.7 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
48%MONEY52%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
DAL
WPG
DAL
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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