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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, May 13 • 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

0-0-0  |  Home

3
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
📊
STARS
100%
JETS --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Winnipeg)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

58.5%

Stars Cover

41.5%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

WPG By 1 goal

19.0%

WPG By 2-3 goals

23.4%

DAL By 1 goal

15.4%

DAL By 2-3 goals

14.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2.54
WINNIPEG
2.11
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
WINNIPEG
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jets (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 0 - 3
Feb 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 3 - 4
Dec 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 4 - 3
Oct 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 5 - 4
May 17, 2025 WPG @ DAL 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +59.1% more
Winnipeg: 5.0 vs Dallas: 2.1
Hits (L5) +20.6% more
Winnipeg: 43.9 vs Dallas: 34.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +15.5% more
Winnipeg: 28.5 vs Dallas: 24.1
Power Play % (L5) +25.5%
Dallas: 38.1% vs Winnipeg: 12.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 2.5 1
DAL Score 2.1 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.0 / 16.3 18.0 / 10.0
Faceoff % 51.6 / 48.0 48.9 / 51.1
Hits 34.9 / 43.9 30.0 / 43.0
Power Play % 38.1 / 12.7 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 24.1 / 28.5 24.0 / 32.0
Takeaways 2.1 / 5.0 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
80%MONEY20%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
WPG
DAL
WPG
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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