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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, May 11 • 4:30 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

0-0-0  |  Home

5
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
📊
STARS
100%
JETS --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Winnipeg)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

61.6%

Stars Cover

38.4%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

WPG By 1 goal

19.3%

WPG By 2-3 goals

25.2%

DAL By 1 goal

14.5%

DAL By 2-3 goals

12.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2.42
WINNIPEG
1.83
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
WINNIPEG
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jets (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 0 - 3
Feb 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 3 - 4
Dec 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 4 - 3
Oct 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 5 - 4
May 17, 2025 WPG @ DAL 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +53.2% more
Winnipeg: 5.5 vs Dallas: 2.6
Hits (L5) +31.0% more
Winnipeg: 45.4 vs Dallas: 31.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +22.2% more
Winnipeg: 29.7 vs Dallas: 23.1
Power Play % (L5) +13.2%
Dallas: 32.2% vs Winnipeg: 19.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 2.4 2
DAL Score 1.8 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.5 / 15.5 15.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 53.3 / 46.0 48.1 / 51.9
Hits 31.3 / 45.4 42.0 / 41.0
Power Play % 32.2 / 19.0 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 23.1 / 29.7 26.0 / 26.0
Takeaways 2.6 / 5.5 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
87%MONEY13%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
WPG
DAL
WPG
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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