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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

0-0-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, May 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

CAPITALSWSH

0-0-0  |  Home

3
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
📊
CAPITALS
0%
HURRICANES --
CAPITALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Washington)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 CapitalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

48.4%

Capitals Cover

51.6%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

CAR By 1 goal

17.1%

CAR By 2-3 goals

17.8%

WSH By 1 goal

17.8%

WSH By 2-3 goals

19.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.97
CAROLINA
3.05
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
4
CAROLINA
2
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Capitals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Capitals (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim Hurricanes (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 WSH @ CAR 5 - 2
Jan 31, 2026 CAR @ WSH 3 - 4
Dec 11, 2025 CAR @ WSH 3 - 2
Nov 11, 2025 WSH @ CAR 4 - 1
May 15, 2025 CAR @ WSH 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +97.9% more
Washington: 23.5 vs Carolina: 11.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +37.8% more
Carolina: 36.5 vs Washington: 22.7
Hits (L5) +26.2% more
Carolina: 39.6 vs Washington: 29.2
Takeaways (L5) +17.5% more
Carolina: 5.0 vs Washington: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 3.0 1
WSH Score 3.1 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 23.5 / 11.9 33.0 / 10.0
Faceoff % 47.3 / 52.9 50.0 / 50.0
Hits 29.2 / 39.6 16.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 19.9 / 20.1 33.3 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 22.7 / 36.5 21.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 4.1 / 5.0 7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
58%MONEY42%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CAR
WSH
CAR
ML
100% 3-0
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
100% 4-0
TTL
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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