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DALLAS

STARSDAL

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, May 7 • 9:30 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
View Odds Details →

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
📊
JETS
0%
STARS --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Winnipeg)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 JetsWPG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

12.7%

Jets Cover

87.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

DAL By 1 goal

5.3%

DAL By 2-3 goals

2.7%

WPG By 1 goal

16.2%

WPG By 2-3 goals

38.1%

AI Model Projected Score
1.36
DALLAS
3.64
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jets (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.3
D
Sim Jets (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 0 - 3
Feb 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 3 - 4
Dec 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 4 - 3
Oct 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 5 - 4
May 17, 2025 WPG @ DAL 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +95.8% more
Winnipeg: 51.3 vs Dallas: 26.2
Takeaways (L5) +52.5% more
Winnipeg: 4.7 vs Dallas: 3.1
Shots on Goal (L5) +34.6% more
Winnipeg: 32.6 vs Dallas: 24.2
Power Play % (L5) +19.8%
Dallas: 47.5% vs Winnipeg: 27.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 1.4 3
WPG Score 3.6 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.0 / 17.3 18.0 / 20.0
Faceoff % 48.5 / 49.9 45.7 / 54.3
Hits 51.3 / 26.2 46.0 / 24.0
Power Play % 27.7 / 47.5 0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 32.6 / 24.2 31.0 / 24.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 3.1 8.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
78%MONEY22%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
DAL
WPG
DAL
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
ATS
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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