HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
17-18 | Road
9
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
19-18 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Josh Hader
#71 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Joey Ortiz
#3 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hader | None-None | 1.69 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Joey Ortiz | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.69
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
100%
BREWERS
0%
ASTROS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
HOU By 1-2 runs
17.4%
HOU By 3-4 runs
12.1%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.2%
MIL By 3-4 runs
15.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
4.05
HOUSTON
Milwaukee
4.56
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Houston
3
HOUSTON
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.5
D
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 31, 2026
MIL @ HOU
2 - 0
May 30, 2026
MIL @ HOU
2 - 9
May 29, 2026
MIL @ HOU
5 - 4
May 7, 2025
HOU @ MIL
9 - 1
May 6, 2025
HOU @ MIL
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston
HOU
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.00
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.582
OPS
▲
.743
4
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+3750.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+71.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Houston: 3.0
Errors (L5)
+23.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.6
vs
Houston: 0.3
OPS (Season)
+16.1%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Houston: 58.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
4.1
9
MIL Score
4.6
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.3
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.7 / 8.1
4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 9.0
5.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.7 / 12.3
8.0 / 14.0
Walks
2.4 / 3.9
7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
HOU
MIL
HOU
ML
62%
101-61
50%
81-82
52%
84-78
47%
77-87
ATS
58%
94-68
56%
91-72
48%
78-84
55%
90-74
TTL
40%
62-92-8
45%
70-84-9
50%
77-77-8
45%
69-86-9
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