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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

0-0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, May 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

CAPITALSWSH

0-0-0  |  Home

1
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
📊
CAPITALS
0%
HURRICANES --
CAPITALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Washington)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 CapitalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

47.2%

Capitals Cover

52.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

CAR By 1 goal

16.8%

CAR By 2-3 goals

17.2%

WSH By 1 goal

18.0%

WSH By 2-3 goals

20.2%

AI Model Projected Score
3.25
CAROLINA
3.39
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
4
CAROLINA
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Capitals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Capitals (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim Hurricanes (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 WSH @ CAR 5 - 2
Jan 31, 2026 CAR @ WSH 3 - 4
Dec 11, 2025 CAR @ WSH 3 - 2
Nov 11, 2025 WSH @ CAR 4 - 1
May 15, 2025 CAR @ WSH 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +44.7% more
Washington: 19.2 vs Carolina: 13.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +29.3% more
Carolina: 38.2 vs Washington: 27.0
Hits (L5) +24.3% more
Carolina: 37.4 vs Washington: 28.3
Takeaways (L5) +8.5% more
Carolina: 3.4 vs Washington: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 3.3 2
WSH Score 3.4 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 19.2 / 13.3 32.0 / 9.0
Faceoff % 48.8 / 51.6 44.4 / 55.6
Hits 28.3 / 37.4 31.0 / 44.0
Power Play % 2978.0 / 3020.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.0 / 38.2 14.0 / 33.0
Takeaways 3.1 / 3.4 6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CAR
WSH
CAR
ML
100% 3-0
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
100% 4-0
TTL
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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