HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
17-17 | Road
3
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
18-18 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Abreu
#52 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | None-None | 1.80 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 3.48 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.80 Ldr
ERA
3.48
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
100%
BREWERS
0%
ASTROS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
HOU By 1-2 runs
16.0%
HOU By 3-4 runs
10.3%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
3.61
HOUSTON
Milwaukee
4.73
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Houston
5
HOUSTON
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Astros
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim
Astros (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 31, 2026
MIL @ HOU
2 - 0
May 30, 2026
MIL @ HOU
2 - 9
May 29, 2026
MIL @ HOU
5 - 4
May 7, 2025
HOU @ MIL
9 - 1
May 6, 2025
HOU @ MIL
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston
HOU
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.00
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.582
OPS
▲
.743
4
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+3750.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+71.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Houston: 3.0
Errors (L5)
+35.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.9
vs
Houston: 0.5
OPS (Season)
+16.1%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Houston: 58.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
3.6
3
MIL Score
4.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.1 / 9.7
6.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 8.5
8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
10.0 / 13.9
12.0 / 9.0
Walks
2.1 / 3.8
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
HOU
MIL
HOU
ML
62%
101-61
50%
81-82
52%
84-78
47%
77-87
ATS
58%
94-68
56%
91-72
48%
78-84
55%
90-74
TTL
40%
62-92-8
45%
70-84-9
50%
77-77-8
45%
69-86-9
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