CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
21-13 | Road
0
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
16-18 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Shota Imanaga
#18 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga | None-None | 2.82 | -- | 5.2 | 4 |
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 3.86 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.82 Ldr
ERA
3.86
--
WHIP
--
5.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
0%
BREWERS
100%
CUBS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
CHC By 1-2 runs
18.2%
CHC By 3-4 runs
19.7%
MIL By 1-2 runs
10.2%
MIL By 3-4 runs
5.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
7.45
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
4.3
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cubs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cubs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cubs (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.2
D
Sim
Cubs (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
CHC @ MIL
6 - 8
Sep 8, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 7, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 3, 2026
MIL @ CHC
1 - 2
Sep 2, 2026
MIL @ CHC
9 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
2
Games Played
▲
162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.374
OPS
▲
.743
0
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+82.6% more
Chicago: 2.6
vs
Milwaukee: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+58.1% more
Chicago: 18.6
vs
Milwaukee: 7.8
Hits (L5)
+44.5% more
Chicago: 9.7
vs
Milwaukee: 5.4
Home Runs (Season)
+15400.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
7.5
0
MIL Score
4.3
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.4 / 9.7
6.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 2.6
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 6.8
11.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
7.8 / 18.6
7.0 / 5.0
Walks
3.8 / 2.3
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CHC
MIL
CHC
ML
62%
101-61
58%
93-68
52%
84-78
51%
82-79
ATS
58%
94-68
61%
97-63-1
48%
78-84
47%
75-85-1
TTL
40%
62-92-8
52%
81-74-6
50%
77-77-8
46%
72-83-6
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