LA
CLIPPERSLAC
3-3 | Road
101
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
3-3 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
NUGGETS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
26.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
18.4%
DEN By 1-7 points
23.2%
DEN By 8-14 points
12.3%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
115.32
LA
Denver
113.44
DENVER
Simulated Score
LA
118
LA
Denver
124
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+25.5% more
LA: 7.1
vs
Denver: 5.3
Steals (L5)
+14.2% more
LA: 7.7
vs
Denver: 6.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.7%
LA: 76.0%
vs
Denver: 71.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+34.7% more
Denver: 13.4
vs
LA: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
115.3
101
DEN Score
113.4
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 36.1
37.9 / 29.6
Assists
25.8 / 25.4
24.0 / 30.0
Blocks
5.3 / 7.1
4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 49.7
52.2 / 47.6
Free Throw %
71.3 / 76.0
71.4 / 68.2
Rebounding
41.6 / 39.0
46.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.6 / 7.7
11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 9.9
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
LAC
DEN
LAC
ML
54%
57-48
60%
59-40
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
ATS
63%
65-38-2
66%
65-33-1
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
TTL
54%
56-48-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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