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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

0-0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, May 3 • 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

0-0-0  |  Home

4
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
📊
STARS
100%
AVALANCHE --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Colorado)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

53.6%

Stars Cover

46.4%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

COL By 1 goal

18.2%

COL By 2-3 goals

20.6%

DAL By 1 goal

16.6%

DAL By 2-3 goals

16.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2.27
COLORADO
2.09
DALLAS
Simulated Score
4
COLORADO
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Avalanche Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Avalanche Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Avalanche (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim Avalanche (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 COL @ DAL 2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026 DAL @ COL 2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026 COL @ DAL 5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025 DAL @ COL 5 - 4
Oct 4, 2025 COL @ DAL 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +43.2% more
Colorado: 6.3 vs Dallas: 3.6
Hits (L5) +37.5% more
Colorado: 42.9 vs Dallas: 26.8
Shots on Goal (L5) +29.6% more
Colorado: 38.2 vs Dallas: 26.9
Power Play % (L5) +25.9%
Dallas: 46.2% vs Colorado: 20.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 2.3 2
DAL Score 2.1 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 18.9 / 16.2 14.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 50.8 / 49.4 48.1 / 51.9
Hits 26.8 / 42.9 25.0 / 27.0
Power Play % 46.2 / 20.3 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.9 / 38.2 19.0 / 27.0
Takeaways 3.6 / 6.3 2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
72%MONEY28%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
COL
DAL
COL
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
TTL
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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