Home / MLB Projections MLB / Cubs @ Brewers CHC @ MIL

CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

20-13  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, May 3 • 7:10 PM ET
American Family Field
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

16-17  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Dansby Swanson
STARTING PITCHER

Dansby Swanson

#7 | Shortstop
@
Grant Anderson
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Anderson

#56 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Dansby Swanson None-None -- -- -- --
Grant Anderson None-None 2.84 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 2.84
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
0%
📊
BREWERS
100%
CUBS --
BREWERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Chicago)
CubsCHC (-3.5) 0 BrewersMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cubs Cover

57.1%

Brewers Cover

42.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)

CHC By 1-2 runs

19.4%

CHC By 3-4 runs

15.6%

MIL By 1-2 runs

17.0%

MIL By 3-4 runs

11.4%

AI Model Projected Score
6.36
CHICAGO
5.64
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
5
CHICAGO
4
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cubs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cubs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cubs (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
D
Sim Cubs (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 CHC @ MIL 6 - 8
Sep 8, 2026 CHC @ MIL 3 - 4
Sep 7, 2026 CHC @ MIL 3 - 4
Sep 3, 2026 MIL @ CHC 1 - 2
Sep 2, 2026 MIL @ CHC 9 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHC
vs
Milwaukee MIL
2
Games Played
▲ 162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲ 5.14
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .341
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.374
OPS
▲ .743
0
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +92.9% more
Chicago: 2.4 vs Milwaukee: 0.2
Total Bases (L5) +60.4% more
Chicago: 19.3 vs Milwaukee: 7.7
Hits (L5) +42.4% more
Chicago: 10.5 vs Milwaukee: 6.1
Home Runs (Season) +15400.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0 vs Chicago: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHC Score 6.4 6
MIL Score 5.6 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.4 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.1 / 10.5 4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.2 / 2.4 1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 7.0 / 6.7 11.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 7.7 / 19.3 8.0 / 17.0
Walks 4.2 / 3.0 3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
88%MONEY12%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CHC
MIL
CHC
ML
62% 101-61
58% 93-68
52% 84-78
51% 82-79
ATS
58% 94-68
61% 97-63-1
48% 78-84
47% 75-85-1
TTL
40% 62-92-8
52% 81-74-6
50% 77-77-8
46% 72-83-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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