DALLAS
STARSDAL
0-0-0 | Road
4
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
0-0-0 | Home
7
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
STARS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
DAL By 1 goal
11.8%
DAL By 2-3 goals
9.0%
COL By 1 goal
19.7%
COL By 2-3 goals
30.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
1.65
DALLAS
Colorado
2.7
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
COL @ DAL
2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026
DAL @ COL
2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026
COL @ DAL
5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
DAL @ COL
5 - 4
Oct 4, 2025
COL @ DAL
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+47.6% more
Colorado: 6.5
vs
Dallas: 4.4
Hits (L5)
+34.6% more
Colorado: 41.3
vs
Dallas: 30.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.9% more
Colorado: 33.3
vs
Dallas: 27.3
Power Play % (L5)
+11.1%
Colorado: 30.4%
vs
Dallas: 19.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
1.7
4
COL Score
2.7
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.3 / 19.8
14.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
49.1 / 51.3
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
41.3 / 30.7
46.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
30.4 / 19.3
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
33.3 / 27.3
48.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
6.5 / 4.4
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
DAL
COL
DAL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…