LA
CLIPPERSLAC
2-2 | Road
115
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
2-2 | Home
131
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
NUGGETS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
LAC By 1-7 points
25.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
15.1%
DEN By 1-7 points
25.4%
DEN By 8-14 points
15.5%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
113.97
LA
Denver
114.08
DENVER
Simulated Score
LA
118
LA
Denver
122
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.1
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.9% more
Denver: 14.6
vs
LA: 12.1
Blocks (L5)
+39.2% more
LA: 5.3
vs
Denver: 3.2
Steals (L5)
+9.6% more
LA: 7.6
vs
Denver: 6.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
LA: 39.2%
vs
Denver: 33.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
114.0
115
DEN Score
114.1
131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 39.2
51.5 / 37.9
Assists
25.5 / 25.4
29.0 / 29.0
Blocks
3.2 / 5.3
7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 48.1
55.8 / 52.4
Free Throw %
71.2 / 73.8
78.3 / 64.3
Rebounding
45.4 / 42.4
38.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.9 / 7.6
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 12.1
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
LAC
DEN
LAC
ML
54%
57-48
60%
59-40
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
ATS
63%
65-38-2
66%
65-33-1
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
TTL
54%
56-48-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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