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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

0-0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Apr 28 • 9:30 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

0-0-0  |  Home

6
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
📊
STARS
100%
AVALANCHE --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Colorado)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

75.0%

Stars Cover

25.0%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

COL By 1 goal

19.4%

COL By 2-3 goals

32.9%

DAL By 1 goal

10.0%

DAL By 2-3 goals

6.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.99
COLORADO
1.64
DALLAS
Simulated Score
4
COLORADO
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Avalanche Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Avalanche Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Avalanche (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim Avalanche (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 COL @ DAL 2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026 DAL @ COL 2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026 COL @ DAL 5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025 DAL @ COL 5 - 4
Oct 4, 2025 COL @ DAL 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +29.1%
Colorado: 45.6% vs Dallas: 16.5%
Shots on Goal (L5) +23.6% more
Colorado: 35.9 vs Dallas: 27.5
Hits (L5) +13.5% more
Colorado: 36.5 vs Dallas: 31.5
Takeaways (L5) +11.1% more
Colorado: 5.7 vs Dallas: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 3.0 2
DAL Score 1.6 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 19.2 / 17.4 21.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 49.2 / 51.3 55.4 / 44.6
Hits 31.5 / 36.5 29.0 / 51.0
Power Play % 16.5 / 45.6 25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.5 / 35.9 27.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 5.1 / 5.7 3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
26%MONEY74%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
COL
DAL
COL
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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