BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
2-1 | Road
107
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
1-2 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
MAGIC
100%
CELTICS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
27.2%
BOS By 8-14 points
20.2%
ORL By 1-7 points
21.6%
ORL By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
110.98
BOSTON
Orlando
107.96
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Boston
118
BOSTON
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
ORL @ BOS
108 - 113
Nov 23, 2025
ORL @ BOS
129 - 138
Nov 9, 2025
BOS @ ORL
111 - 107
Nov 7, 2025
BOS @ ORL
110 - 123
Apr 29, 2025
ORL @ BOS
89 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.5% more
Boston: 14.8
vs
Orlando: 12.4
Steals (L5)
+11.4% more
Boston: 8.7
vs
Orlando: 7.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Boston: 77.2%
vs
Orlando: 71.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Boston: 34.9%
vs
Orlando: 29.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
111.0
107
ORL Score
108.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.8 / 34.9
26.7 / 29.0
Assists
19.9 / 19.9
23.0 / 17.0
Blocks
5.1 / 5.0
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 44.7
43.2 / 43.6
Free Throw %
71.8 / 77.2
70.0 / 93.8
Rebounding
41.3 / 43.8
38.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.7 / 8.7
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 14.8
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
BOS
ORL
BOS
ML
61%
65-42
57%
61-46
56%
51-40
53%
47-41
ATS
64%
68-38-1
59%
61-43-3
56%
51-40
53%
47-41
TTL
57%
61-46
56%
60-47
100%
91-0
100%
88-0
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