MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
13-13 | Road
2
ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
10-15 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Leahy
#62 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 3.52 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Kyle Leahy | None-None | 1.62 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.52
ERA
Ldr 1.62
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
100%
CARDINALS
0%
BREWERS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around STL -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
13.9%
MIL By 3-4 runs
8.1%
STL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
STL By 3-4 runs
18.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
4.47
MILWAUKEE
St. Louis
6.37
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.9
D
Sim
Brewers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
STL @ MIL
4 - 6
Sep 26, 2026
STL @ MIL
2 - 3
Sep 25, 2026
STL @ MIL
4 - 8
Jul 9, 2026
MIL @ STL
8 - 4
Jul 8, 2026
MIL @ STL
1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
St. Louis
STL
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.44
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.313
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.378
.743
▲
OPS
.691
154
Home Runs
▲
167
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+8.4% more
St. Louis: 167.0
vs
Milwaukee: 154.0
Errors (L5)
+33.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.9
vs
St. Louis: 0.6
Walks (L5)
+24.6% more
Milwaukee: 4.6
vs
St. Louis: 3.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+13.6% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
St. Louis: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
4.5
2
STL Score
6.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.6 / 9.5
9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
6.1 / 6.1
5.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
12.4 / 12.3
10.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.4 / 4.6
1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
STL
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
MIL
STL
MIL
ML
53%
85-74
62%
101-61
52%
84-77
52%
84-78
ATS
56%
89-70
58%
94-68
53%
85-76
48%
78-84
TTL
46%
68-81-10
40%
62-92-8
50%
76-75-10
50%
77-77-8
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