DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
1-1 | Road
83
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
1-1 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
NUGGETS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
NUGGETS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEN -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
DEN By 1-7 points
26.7%
DEN By 8-14 points
18.0%
LAC By 1-7 points
23.5%
LAC By 8-14 points
12.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Denver
118.54
DENVER
LA
116.88
LA
Simulated Score
Denver
118
DENVER
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.7
D
Sim
Nuggets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 235.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+18.0% more
Denver: 47.8
vs
LA: 39.2
Blocks (L5)
+51.3% more
LA: 4.2
vs
Denver: 2.8
Steals (L5)
+20.0% more
LA: 9.9
vs
Denver: 8.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.8%
LA: 80.5%
vs
Denver: 73.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEN Score
118.5
83
LAC Score
116.9
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 36.0
46.2 / 26.9
Assists
25.4 / 26.3
26.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.8
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.8 / 47.7
48.2 / 40.3
Free Throw %
80.5 / 73.7
67.9 / 70.0
Rebounding
39.2 / 47.8
48.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.9 / 8.3
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 14.4
11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
DEN
LAC
DEN
ML
60%
59-40
54%
57-48
55%
45-37
55%
47-39
ATS
66%
65-33-1
63%
65-38-2
55%
45-37
55%
47-39
TTL
59%
58-40-1
54%
56-48-1
100%
82-0
100%
86-0
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