ORLANDO
MAGICORL
0-1 | Road
100
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
1-0 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
CELTICS
0%
MAGIC
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.8
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.8 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -8.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
ORL By 1-7 points
12.5%
ORL By 8-14 points
4.2%
BOS By 1-7 points
24.5%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
106.97
ORLANDO
Boston
115.74
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Orlando
108
ORLANDO
Boston
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.8
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
ORL @ BOS
108 - 113
Nov 23, 2025
ORL @ BOS
129 - 138
Nov 9, 2025
BOS @ ORL
111 - 107
Nov 7, 2025
BOS @ ORL
110 - 123
Apr 29, 2025
ORL @ BOS
89 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+29.2% more
Boston: 9.9
vs
Orlando: 7.7
Blocks (L5)
+14.0% more
Orlando: 6.5
vs
Boston: 5.6
Turnovers (L5)
+12.4% more
Orlando: 13.8
vs
Boston: 12.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.5%
Orlando: 46.1%
vs
Boston: 44.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
107.0
100
BOS Score
115.7
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 36.2
32.4 / 24.1
Assists
25.0 / 23.7
17.0 / 18.0
Blocks
5.6 / 6.5
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 46.1
45.0 / 47.6
Free Throw %
74.4 / 75.5
75.8 / 62.5
Rebounding
46.3 / 44.4
46.0 / 34.0
Steals
9.9 / 7.7
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 13.8
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
ORL
BOS
ORL
ML
57%
61-46
61%
65-42
53%
47-41
56%
51-40
ATS
59%
61-43-3
64%
68-38-1
53%
47-41
56%
51-40
TTL
56%
60-47
57%
61-46
100%
88-0
100%
91-0
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