Home / MLB Projections MLB / Brewers @ Giants MIL @ SF

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

12-11  |  Road

11
FINAL
Tue, Apr 22 • 9:45 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

15-8  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Grant Anderson
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Anderson

#56 | Relief Pitcher
@
Christian Koss
STARTING PITCHER

Christian Koss

#50 | Shortstop
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Anderson None-None 3.77 -- 1.0 --
Christian Koss None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.77 ERA Ldr 0.00
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
100%
📊
GIANTS
0%
BREWERS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (San Francisco)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

42.7%

Giants Cover

57.3%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

MIL By 1-2 runs

16.9%

MIL By 3-4 runs

11.4%

SF By 1-2 runs

19.4%

SF By 3-4 runs

15.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.95
MILWAUKEE
5.69
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
5
MILWAUKEE
4
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Brewers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.7
D
Sim Brewers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.6
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 29, 2026 MIL @ SF 3 - 16
Jul 28, 2026 MIL @ SF 8 - 2
Jul 27, 2026 MIL @ SF 0 - 3
Jun 4, 2026 SF @ MIL 12 - 9
Jun 3, 2026 SF @ MIL 1 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
San Francisco SF
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.743 ▲
OPS
.706
154
Home Runs
▲ 178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +15.6% more
San Francisco: 178.0 vs Milwaukee: 154.0
Walks (L5) +14.5% more
San Francisco: 3.7 vs Milwaukee: 3.2
Home Runs (L5) +10.0% more
San Francisco: 1.0 vs Milwaukee: 0.9
Errors (L5) +25.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.5 vs San Francisco: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 5.0 11
SF Score 5.7 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.5 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.3 / 8.5 11.0 / 13.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 0.9 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.4 / 8.8 6.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 11.6 / 12.2 13.0 / 21.0
Walks 3.7 / 3.2 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
MIL
SF
MIL
ML
49% 79-81
62% 101-61
53% 85-75
52% 84-78
ATS
62% 100-60
58% 94-68
52% 83-77
48% 78-84
TTL
55% 82-68-10
40% 62-92-8
46% 68-81-11
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 2 hours, 57 minutes ago
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
si 2 hours, 57 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 9 hours, 4 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 21 hours, 15 minutes ago
Padres' Bullpen Boosted for Game 4 as Miller Returns, King Avail…
si 1 day, 2 hours ago