LA
CLIPPERSLAC
0-1 | Road
105
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
1-0 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
NUGGETS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.4
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.4 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -6.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
LAC By 1-7 points
16.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
6.4%
DEN By 1-7 points
26.6%
DEN By 8-14 points
24.8%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
115.94
LA
Denver
122.38
DENVER
Simulated Score
LA
118
LA
Denver
124
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.4
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 238.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+9.1% more
Denver: 46.7
vs
LA: 42.8
Turnovers (L5)
+26.8% more
LA: 15.8
vs
Denver: 11.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.9%
LA: 41.0%
vs
Denver: 32.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
LA: 52.2%
vs
Denver: 48.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
115.9
105
DEN Score
122.4
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 41.0
43.8 / 38.2
Assists
28.0 / 26.1
23.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.8
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 52.2
46.8 / 48.2
Free Throw %
78.7 / 79.1
63.6 / 83.3
Rebounding
46.7 / 42.8
50.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.4 / 8.4
8.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 15.8
20.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
LAC
DEN
LAC
ML
54%
57-48
60%
59-40
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
ATS
63%
65-38-2
66%
65-33-1
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
TTL
54%
56-48-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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