COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
0-0-0 | Road
3
DALLAS
STARSDAL
0-0-0 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
STARS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
18.8%
COL By 2-3 goals
22.8%
DAL By 1 goal
15.6%
DAL By 2-3 goals
14.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.77
COLORADO
Dallas
2.39
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
COL @ DAL
2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026
DAL @ COL
2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026
COL @ DAL
5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
DAL @ COL
5 - 4
Oct 4, 2025
COL @ DAL
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+29.5% more
Colorado: 22.2
vs
Dallas: 15.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.3% more
Colorado: 17.0
vs
Dallas: 14.9
Power Play % (L5)
+6.6%
Colorado: 24.9%
vs
Dallas: 18.3%
Takeaways (L5)
+44.4% more
Dallas: 4.6
vs
Colorado: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.8
3
DAL Score
2.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 17.0
19.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
51.9 / 49.6
45.6 / 54.4
Hits
15.7 / 22.2
45.0 / 45.0
Power Play %
18.3 / 24.9
25.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
26.3 / 27.7
39.0 / 37.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 3.2
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
COL
DAL
COL
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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