ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
10-11 | Road
1
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
11-10 | Home
14
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Lopez
#57 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Henderson
#43 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Lopez | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.1 | -- |
| Logan Henderson | None-None | 1.50 | -- | 6.0 | 9 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
1.50
--
WHIP
--
1.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 9
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
BREWERS
100%
ATHLETICS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.0%
ATH By 3-4 runs
14.7%
MIL By 1-2 runs
17.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
12.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
5.27
ATHLETICS
Milwaukee
4.87
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Athletics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Athletics (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 10, 2026
MIL @ ATH
3 - 4
Jun 9, 2026
MIL @ ATH
5 - 7
Jun 8, 2026
MIL @ ATH
15 - 14
Apr 20, 2025
ATH @ MIL
1 - 14
Apr 19, 2025
ATH @ MIL
3 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.719
OPS
▲
.743
194
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+61.0% more
Athletics: 1.0
vs
Milwaukee: 0.4
Home Runs (L5)
+55.9% more
Athletics: 1.5
vs
Milwaukee: 0.7
Total Bases (L5)
+40.8% more
Athletics: 16.3
vs
Milwaukee: 9.7
Hits (L5)
+34.8% more
Athletics: 9.4
vs
Milwaukee: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
5.3
1
MIL Score
4.9
14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 1.0
0.0 / 4.0
Hits
6.1 / 9.4
17.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.5
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 5.9
14.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
9.7 / 16.3
22.0 / 7.0
Walks
3.0 / 2.4
1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
ATH
MIL
ATH
ML
62%
101-61
59%
95-67
52%
84-78
54%
87-74
ATS
58%
94-68
52%
84-78
48%
78-84
50%
81-80
TTL
40%
62-92-8
54%
84-73-5
50%
77-77-8
42%
66-90-5
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