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SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

14-7  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Apr 20 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

10-10  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Camilo Doval
STARTING PITCHER

Camilo Doval

#57 | Relief Pitcher
@
Zach Neto
STARTING PITCHER

Zach Neto

#9 | Shortstop
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Camilo Doval None-None 2.89 -- 1.0 1
Zach Neto None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
2.89 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
0%
📊
ANGELS
100%
GIANTS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

50.4%

Angels Cover

49.6%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

18.5%

SF By 3-4 runs

13.7%

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.4%

LAA By 3-4 runs

13.5%

AI Model Projected Score
4.88
SAN FRANCISCO
4.84
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
5
SAN FRANCISCO
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: 0.0
D
Sim Giants (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 26, 2026 LAA @ SF 4 - 3
Jul 25, 2026 LAA @ SF 2 - 9
Jul 24, 2026 LAA @ SF 6 - 7
Apr 20, 2025 SF @ LAA 4 - 5
Apr 19, 2025 SF @ LAA 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.13 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .310
.400 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.706 ▲
OPS
.679
178 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +46.0% more
San Francisco: 9.8 vs Los Angeles: 5.3
Home Runs (Season) +13.5% more
San Francisco: 178.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Errors (L5) +11.0% more
San Francisco: 0.6 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Slugging Pct (Season) +3.1%
San Francisco: 40.0% vs Los Angeles: 36.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.9 4
LAA Score 4.8 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.6 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.0 / 6.3 6.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 5.3 / 9.8 9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 10.1 / 10.4 11.0 / 12.0
Walks 2.8 / 2.6 8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
SF
LAA
SF
ML
59% 96-66
49% 79-81
55% 89-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-65
62% 100-60
51% 82-80
52% 83-77
TTL
53% 83-74-5
55% 82-68-10
52% 82-75-5
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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