LA
CLIPPERSLAC
0-0 | Road
110
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
0-0 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
NUGGETS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.3
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.3 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -6.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
LAC By 1-7 points
16.4%
LAC By 8-14 points
6.5%
DEN By 1-7 points
26.7%
DEN By 8-14 points
24.6%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
117.43
LA
Denver
123.75
DENVER
Simulated Score
LA
118
LA
Denver
122
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.3
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 241.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+85.1% more
Denver: 5.0
vs
LA: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+12.7% more
Denver: 47.5
vs
LA: 42.2
Assists (L5)
+12.7% more
Denver: 30.0
vs
LA: 26.6
Steals (L5)
+21.6% more
LA: 9.1
vs
Denver: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
117.4
110
DEN Score
123.8
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 43.3
33.3 / 36.4
Assists
30.0 / 26.6
24.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.0 / 2.7
1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
50.5 / 53.3
43.6 / 50.0
Free Throw %
79.1 / 81.2
77.8 / 75.0
Rebounding
47.5 / 42.2
45.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.1 / 9.1
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 13.7
11.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
LAC
DEN
LAC
ML
54%
57-48
60%
59-40
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
ATS
63%
65-38-2
66%
65-33-1
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
TTL
54%
56-48-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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