COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
0-0-0 | Road
5
DALLAS
STARSDAL
0-0-0 | Home
1
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
STARS
0%
AVALANCHE
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
COL By 1 goal
16.6%
COL By 2-3 goals
16.8%
DAL By 1 goal
18.2%
DAL By 2-3 goals
20.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
2.43
COLORADO
Dallas
2.61
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
COL @ DAL
2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026
DAL @ COL
2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026
COL @ DAL
5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
DAL @ COL
5 - 4
Oct 4, 2025
COL @ DAL
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.9%
Dallas: 54.2%
vs
Colorado: 48.2%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+36.8% more
Colorado: 18.0
vs
Dallas: 11.4
Hits (L5)
+20.9% more
Colorado: 18.4
vs
Dallas: 14.5
Power Play % (L5)
+14.0%
Colorado: 24.8%
vs
Dallas: 10.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.4
5
DAL Score
2.6
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.4 / 18.0
22.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
54.2 / 48.2
47.5 / 52.5
Hits
14.5 / 18.4
18.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
10.7 / 24.8
33.3 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
27.4 / 29.0
24.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 4.2
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
COL
DAL
COL
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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