ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

9-11  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Apr 19 • 7:10 PM ET
American Family Field
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

11-9  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Jacob Wilson
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Wilson

#5 | Shortstop
@
Grant Anderson
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Anderson

#56 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jacob Wilson None-None -- -- -- --
Grant Anderson None-None 2.92 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 2.92
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
📊
BREWERS
0%
ATHLETICS --
BREWERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Milwaukee)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 BrewersMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

41.2%

Brewers Cover

58.8%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

ATH By 1-2 runs

16.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

10.9%

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.5%

MIL By 3-4 runs

16.0%

AI Model Projected Score
4.74
ATHLETICS
5.63
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
4
ATHLETICS
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Brewers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Brewers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Brewers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.9
D
Sim Brewers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.4
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 10, 2026 MIL @ ATH 3 - 4
Jun 9, 2026 MIL @ ATH 5 - 7
Jun 8, 2026 MIL @ ATH 15 - 14
Apr 20, 2025 ATH @ MIL 1 - 14
Apr 19, 2025 ATH @ MIL 3 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Milwaukee MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 5.14
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .341
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.719
OPS
▲ .743
194 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +19.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Athletics: 4.3
Walks (L5) +14.4% more
Milwaukee: 4.1 vs Athletics: 3.5
On-Base Pct (Season) +2.4%
Milwaukee: 34.1% vs Athletics: 31.7%
OPS (Season) +2.4%
Milwaukee: 74.3% vs Athletics: 71.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 4.7 3
MIL Score 5.6 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 1.5 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.7 / 10.1 3.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.3 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 7.3 9.0 / 3.0
Total Bases 12.5 / 17.0 4.0 / 15.0
Walks 4.1 / 3.5 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8