Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Angels SF @ LAA

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

13-7  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Apr 19 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

10-9  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Landen Roupp
STARTING PITCHER

Landen Roupp

#65 | Starting Pitcher
@
Ryan Johnson
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Johnson

#32 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Landen Roupp None-None 4.09 -- 7.0 9
Ryan Johnson None-None 6.00 -- 1.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
4.09 Ldr ERA 6.00
-- WHIP --
7.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.1
9 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
0%
📊
ANGELS
100%
GIANTS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

53.6%

Angels Cover

46.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

19.0%

SF By 3-4 runs

14.6%

LAA By 1-2 runs

17.8%

LAA By 3-4 runs

12.5%

AI Model Projected Score
4.9
SAN FRANCISCO
4.54
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
5
SAN FRANCISCO
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim Giants (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.4
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 26, 2026 LAA @ SF 4 - 3
Jul 25, 2026 LAA @ SF 2 - 9
Jul 24, 2026 LAA @ SF 6 - 7
Apr 20, 2025 SF @ LAA 4 - 5
Apr 19, 2025 SF @ LAA 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.13 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .310
.400 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.706 ▲
OPS
.679
178 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +33.7% more
San Francisco: 9.8 vs Los Angeles: 6.5
Home Runs (L5) +29.0% more
San Francisco: 0.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Walks (L5) +21.5% more
San Francisco: 3.4 vs Los Angeles: 2.7
Total Bases (L5) +17.0% more
San Francisco: 11.1 vs Los Angeles: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.9 3
LAA Score 4.5 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 5.9 / 7.0 6.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 0.8 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.5 / 9.8 3.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 9.2 / 11.1 12.0 / 9.0
Walks 2.7 / 3.4 3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
89%MONEY11%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
SF
LAA
SF
ML
59% 96-66
49% 79-81
55% 89-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-65
62% 100-60
51% 82-80
52% 83-77
TTL
53% 83-74-5
55% 82-68-10
52% 82-75-5
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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