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DALLAS

STARSDAL

50-25-6  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, Apr 16 • 8:00 PM ET
Bridgestone Arena
View Odds Details →

NASHVILLE

PREDATORSNSH

29-44-8  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Casey DeSmith
GOALTENDER

Casey DeSmith

#1 | Goaltender
@
Juuse Saros
GOALTENDER

Juuse Saros

#74 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Casey DeSmith None-None 0.00 1.000 --
Juuse Saros None-None 1.00 0.967 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 1.00
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.967
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
📊
PREDATORS
100%
STARS --
PREDATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Dallas)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 PredatorsNSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

71.7%

Predators Cover

28.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

DAL By 1 goal

19.7%

DAL By 2-3 goals

31.1%

NSH By 1 goal

11.2%

NSH By 2-3 goals

8.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3.38
DALLAS
2.23
NASHVILLE
Simulated Score
3
DALLAS
2
NASHVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim Stars (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 DAL @ NSH 1 - 2
Feb 28, 2026 NSH @ DAL 2 - 3
Nov 8, 2025 DAL @ NSH 5 - 4
Oct 26, 2025 DAL @ NSH 3 - 2
Apr 16, 2025 DAL @ NSH 1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +6.5%
Dallas: 54.4% vs Nashville: 47.9%
Blocked Shots (L5) +29.9% more
Nashville: 15.1 vs Dallas: 11.6
Hits (L5) +29.5% more
Nashville: 21.1 vs Dallas: 16.3
Power Play % (L5) +13.5%
Nashville: 29.6% vs Dallas: 16.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 3.4 1
NSH Score 2.2 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.1 / 11.6 16.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 47.9 / 54.4 46.3 / 53.7
Hits 21.1 / 16.3 12.0 / 11.0
Power Play % 29.6 / 16.1 25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.9 / 26.1 34.0 / 30.0
Takeaways 3.7 / 3.5 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
61%MONEY39%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
DAL
NSH
DAL
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
ATS
0% 0-3
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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