ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
35-37-8 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
44-30-7 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 2.78 | 0.925 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.04 | 0.917 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.78
GAA
Ldr 2.04
0.925 Ldr
Save %
0.917
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
WILD
0%
DUCKS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
ANA By 1 goal
10.6%
ANA By 2-3 goals
7.6%
MIN By 1 goal
19.6%
MIN By 2-3 goals
32.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
1.36
ANAHEIM
Minnesota
2.61
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
ANA @ MIN
2 - 3
Jan 2, 2026
MIN @ ANA
5 - 2
Nov 15, 2025
ANA @ MIN
0 - 2
Apr 15, 2025
ANA @ MIN
2 - 3
Dec 6, 2024
MIN @ ANA
5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+36.7% more
Minnesota: 26.1
vs
Anaheim: 19.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+26.5% more
Minnesota: 30.8
vs
Anaheim: 24.3
Power Play % (L5)
+15.3%
Minnesota: 16.6%
vs
Anaheim: 1.4%
Takeaways (L5)
+10.8% more
Minnesota: 6.1
vs
Anaheim: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
1.4
2
MIN Score
2.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.0 / 14.3
16.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
44.6 / 46.7
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
26.1 / 19.1
22.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
1661.0 / 135.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.8 / 24.3
40.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
6.1 / 5.5
1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
ANA
MIN
ANA
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
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