DALLAS
STARSDAL
50-24-6 | Road
4
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
37-35-7 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 5.05 | 0.861 | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.05
GAA
--
0.861
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
RED WINGS
100%
STARS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
18.9%
DAL By 2-3 goals
34.9%
DET By 1 goal
8.6%
DET By 2-3 goals
5.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3.82
DALLAS
Detroit
2.22
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Stars (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
DET @ DAL
2 - 3
Dec 23, 2025
DAL @ DET
3 - 4
Apr 14, 2025
DAL @ DET
4 - 6
Jan 19, 2025
DET @ DAL
1 - 4
Jan 23, 2024
DAL @ DET
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+19.6%
Dallas: 24.2%
vs
Detroit: 4.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+44.2% more
Detroit: 17.2
vs
Dallas: 11.9
Hits (L5)
+31.8% more
Detroit: 21.0
vs
Dallas: 16.0
Takeaways (L5)
+17.2% more
Detroit: 3.8
vs
Dallas: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.8
4
DET Score
2.2
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 11.9
12.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
50.5 / 51.1
39.1 / 60.9
Hits
21.0 / 16.0
20.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
4.6 / 24.2
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.0 / 25.2
37.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 3.3
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
DAL
DET
DAL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-3
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
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